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Red120
581336.1
130716.8
332321.5
Blue29
563319.6
359713.8
151221.7
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions656020408010012012029

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5813
#14
36.13.5
32.736.2
Auto9.1
Teleop22.9
End4.1
red by 14.4
1512
#18
21.72.2
25.723.5
Auto3.4
Teleop14.4
End3.9
Second
3323
#25
21.53.5
18.822.3
Auto6.9
Teleop12.1
End2.5
red by 1.9
5633
#39
19.63.4
22.919.5
Auto3.8
Teleop13.0
End2.8
Third
1307
#29
16.83.5
10.514.0
Auto5.8
Teleop7.9
End3.1
red by 2.9
3597
#38
13.83.4
12.99.5
Auto4.1
Teleop7.2
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
41%Breach oddsEarned53%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed