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Red80
50922.2
346617.2
192223.9
Blue114
151942.6
490932.7
492925.7
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions55110020408010012014016080114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1922
#26
23.91.1
23.824.9
Auto7.6
Teleop11.5
End4.8
blue by 18.6
42.61.2
40.541.7
Auto14.9
Teleop22.9
End4.8
Second
509
#24
22.20.9
20.721.6
Auto8.4
Teleop11.3
End2.5
blue by 10.4
32.71.2
30.131.3
Auto9.4
Teleop18.6
End4.7
Third
3466
#30
17.21.1
17.018.1
Auto6.5
Teleop6.4
End4.2
blue by 8.6
4929
#16
25.71.2
24.826.0
Auto6.3
Teleop14.3
End5.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
48%Breach oddsEarned86%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsEarned