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Semifinal 1-12016 NE District - UNH Event
Red139
151942.6
31938.5
151221.7
Blue167
581336.1
490932.7
13829.7
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13311250100150200139167

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1519
#3
42.60.3
42.3→42.6
Auto14.9
Teleop22.9
End4.8
red by 6.4
5813
#14
36.10.6
35.7→36.2
Auto9.1
Teleop22.9
End4.1
Second
319
#1
38.50.3
38.3→38.6
Auto6.5
Teleop24.4
End7.6
red by 5.9
4909
#5
32.70.6
32.2→32.8
Auto9.4
Teleop18.6
End4.7
Third
1512
#18
21.70.3
21.5→21.7
Auto3.4
Teleop14.4
End3.9
blue by 8.0
138
#15
29.70.6
29.3→29.8
Auto9.1
Teleop13.4
End7.3