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Red103
7831.9
23832.7
360920.2
Blue108
183127.5
8825.6
178615.4
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11669050100150103108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
238
#1
32.70.0
32.732.7
Auto10.1
Teleop17.9
End4.7
red by 5.2
1831
#14
27.50.4
27.127.5
Auto9.7
Teleop12.5
End5.3
Second
78
#4
31.90.0
31.931.9
Auto8.5
Teleop18.3
End5.0
red by 6.2
88
#8
25.60.3
25.325.6
Auto5.7
Teleop14.5
End5.5
Third
3609
#21
20.20.0
20.220.2
Auto5.6
Teleop10.9
End3.7
red by 4.8
1786
#26
15.40.4
15.015.4
Auto5.7
Teleop8.5
End1.3