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Red101
395819.8
13130.6
542219.5
Blue114
183127.5
8825.6
178615.4
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions86670204060100120140101114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
131
#3
30.60.3
30.330.6
Auto8.7
Teleop19.1
End2.7
red by 3.1
1831
#14
27.50.3
24.925.3
Auto9.7
Teleop12.5
End5.3
Second
3958
#16
19.80.3
19.519.8
Auto5.2
Teleop11.4
End3.1
blue by 5.9
88
#8
25.60.3
23.323.6
Auto5.7
Teleop14.5
End5.5
Third
5422
#23
19.50.3
19.319.6
Auto5.9
Teleop9.2
End4.5
red by 4.1
1786
#26
15.40.3
12.813.2
Auto5.7
Teleop8.5
End1.3