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Red71
88528.8
395819.8
50917.8
Blue64
35669.2
7831.9
490532.8
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions58612040801007164

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
885
#9
28.81.9
23.425.4
Auto6.4
Teleop16.4
End6.0
blue by 4.0
32.80.5
21.622.1
Auto10.4
Teleop16.8
End5.7
Second
3958
#16
19.81.9
17.919.8
Auto5.2
Teleop11.4
End3.1
blue by 12.1
78
#4
31.90.5
23.023.5
Auto8.5
Teleop18.3
End5.0
Third
509
#15
17.81.9
12.114.1
Auto6.8
Teleop9.4
End1.7
red by 8.6
3566
#32
9.20.5
14.815.3
Auto1.1
Teleop7.8
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
56%Breach oddsEarned41%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed