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Red50
547113.6
234218.2
9520.7
Blue19
498713.1
14749.3
172114.5
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5635020801001201405019

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
95
#17
20.70.6
14.815.4
Auto6.4
Teleop11.1
End3.2
red by 6.2
1721
#20
14.52.5
16.514.0
Auto2.1
Teleop8.9
End3.5
Second
2342
#18
18.20.6
15.115.6
Auto4.3
Teleop11.4
End2.6
red by 5.1
4987
#31
13.12.5
11.08.5
Auto2.6
Teleop7.5
End3.0
Third
5471
#24
13.60.6
15.015.6
Auto4.1
Teleop10.1
End-0.6
red by 4.3
1474
#28
9.32.5
14.111.6
Auto2.8
Teleop5.0
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
32%Breach oddsMissed18%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed