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Red45
21323.9
547113.6
151223.1
Blue65
568737.6
7831.9
14749.3
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions48710204060801001201404565

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
213
#6
23.91.0
18.117.1
Auto6.7
Teleop14.3
End2.9
blue by 13.7
37.60.1
31.231.1
Auto9.0
Teleop23.5
End5.1
Second
1512
#12
23.11.0
20.219.3
Auto3.8
Teleop15.9
End3.5
blue by 8.7
78
#4
31.90.1
23.523.4
Auto8.5
Teleop18.3
End5.0
Third
5471
#24
13.61.0
15.614.6
Auto4.1
Teleop10.1
End-0.6
red by 4.3
1474
#28
9.30.2
11.611.4
Auto2.8
Teleop5.0
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
37%Breach oddsEarned62%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed