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Red41
130710.7
178615.4
183127.5
Blue46
332318.8
50917.8
172919.4
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3955020801001201404146

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1831
#14
27.50.0
18.018.0
Auto9.7
Teleop12.5
End5.3
red by 8.1
19.40.4
12.412.8
Auto3.7
Teleop12.6
End3.1
Second
1786
#26
15.40.0
10.210.3
Auto5.7
Teleop8.5
End1.3
blue by 3.3
3323
#10
18.80.4
15.515.9
Auto5.2
Teleop10.9
End2.6
Third
1307
#27
10.70.0
12.712.7
Auto3.4
Teleop5.5
End1.8
blue by 7.1
509
#15
17.80.4
14.114.5
Auto6.8
Teleop9.4
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
14%Breach oddsMissed37%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed