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Red37
9520.7
172114.5
549118.4
Blue68
172919.4
151720.9
23832.7
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions356902060801001203768

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
95
#17
20.71.6
13.712.1
Auto6.4
Teleop11.1
End3.2
blue by 12.0
238
#1
32.71.0
25.926.9
Auto10.1
Teleop17.9
End4.7
Second
5491
#22
18.41.6
16.114.4
Auto5.8
Teleop9.4
End3.3
blue by 2.5
1517
#25
20.91.2
18.319.5
Auto2.5
Teleop14.1
End4.4
Third
1721
#20
14.51.6
11.810.2
Auto2.1
Teleop8.9
End3.5
blue by 4.9
19.41.0
12.813.8
Auto3.7
Teleop12.6
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
14%Breach oddsMissed62%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed