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Red83
23832.7
9520.7
549118.4
Blue73
151223.1
332318.8
7831.9
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions646702040801001201408373

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
238
#1
32.71.6
27.929.5
Auto10.1
Teleop17.9
End4.7
red by 0.8
78
#4
31.90.4
27.628.0
Auto8.5
Teleop18.3
End5.0
Second
95
#17
20.72.2
16.418.6
Auto6.4
Teleop11.1
End3.2
blue by 2.5
1512
#12
23.10.7
20.921.6
Auto3.8
Teleop15.9
End3.5
Third
5491
#22
18.42.2
17.619.8
Auto5.8
Teleop9.4
End3.3
blue by 0.4
3323
#10
18.80.6
18.519.2
Auto5.2
Teleop10.9
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
78%Breach oddsEarned71%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsEarned0%Capture oddsMissed