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Red68
21323.9
130710.7
23832.7
Blue56
358512.8
360920.2
88528.8
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions635602040801001206856

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
238
#1
32.70.6
29.530.1
Auto10.1
Teleop17.9
End4.7
red by 3.9
885
#9
28.80.6
28.728.1
Auto6.4
Teleop16.4
End6.0
Second
213
#6
23.91.0
16.917.9
Auto6.7
Teleop14.3
End2.9
red by 3.7
3609
#21
20.20.6
17.516.9
Auto5.6
Teleop10.9
End3.7
Third
1307
#27
10.71.0
11.912.9
Auto3.4
Teleop5.5
End1.8
blue by 2.1
3585
#30
12.80.6
10.810.2
Auto3.2
Teleop8.8
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
66%Breach oddsEarned40%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed