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Red82
183127.5
346725.9
50917.8
Blue54
88528.8
9520.7
14749.3
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions66602040801001208254

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1831
#14
27.52.7
21.123.8
Auto9.7
Teleop12.5
End5.3
blue by 1.3
885
#9
28.81.1
28.127.0
Auto6.4
Teleop16.4
End6.0
Second
3467
#11
25.92.1
19.421.4
Auto5.2
Teleop16.6
End4.1
red by 5.2
95
#17
20.71.1
18.617.5
Auto6.4
Teleop11.1
End3.2
Third
509
#15
17.82.1
13.815.9
Auto6.8
Teleop9.4
End1.7
red by 8.5
1474
#28
9.31.1
14.012.8
Auto2.8
Teleop5.0
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
28%Breach oddsEarned46%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed