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Red62
13824.8
8825.6
498713.1
Blue39
151720.9
130710.7
547113.6
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6242020801006239

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
88
#8
25.60.4
25.225.7
Auto5.7
Teleop14.5
End5.5
red by 4.7
1517
#25
20.91.6
19.918.3
Auto2.5
Teleop14.1
End4.4
Second
138
#13
24.80.7
19.920.6
Auto8.8
Teleop11.5
End4.6
red by 11.3
5471
#24
13.61.6
12.811.2
Auto4.1
Teleop10.1
End-0.6
Third
4987
#31
13.10.7
10.311.0
Auto2.6
Teleop7.5
End3.0
red by 2.4
1307
#27
10.71.6
12.911.3
Auto3.4
Teleop5.5
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
28%Breach oddsMissed37%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed