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Red36
9520.7
332318.8
21323.9
Blue10
498713.1
35669.2
130710.7
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions625401001502003610

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
213
#6
23.93.7
21.117.4
Auto6.7
Teleop14.3
End2.9
red by 10.8
4987
#31
13.15.4
15.710.3
Auto2.6
Teleop7.5
End3.0
Second
95
#17
20.73.7
20.416.7
Auto6.4
Teleop11.1
End3.2
red by 10.0
1307
#27
10.75.4
17.111.7
Auto3.4
Teleop5.5
End1.8
Third
3323
#10
18.83.7
17.814.1
Auto5.2
Teleop10.9
End2.6
red by 9.5
3566
#32
9.25.4
20.915.5
Auto1.1
Teleop7.8
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
44%Breach oddsMissed40%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed