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Red100
7831.9
130710.7
13130.6
Blue53
178615.4
9520.7
395819.8
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7445020608010012010053

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
78
#4
31.91.2
29.931.1
Auto8.5
Teleop18.3
End5.0
red by 11.2
95
#17
20.70.3
18.919.2
Auto6.4
Teleop11.1
End3.2
Second
131
#3
30.61.5
27.829.3
Auto8.7
Teleop19.1
End2.7
red by 10.8
3958
#16
19.80.3
19.219.5
Auto5.2
Teleop11.4
End3.1
Third
1307
#27
10.71.5
9.210.7
Auto3.4
Teleop5.5
End1.8
blue by 4.7
1786
#26
15.40.3
11.211.5
Auto5.7
Teleop8.5
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
72%Breach oddsEarned34%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed