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Red98
568737.6
490532.8
172114.5
Blue104
183127.5
8825.6
178615.4
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions114655010015098104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.60.2
37.637.4
Auto9.0
Teleop23.5
End5.1
red by 10.1
1831
#14
27.50.5
25.826.3
Auto9.7
Teleop12.5
End5.3
Second
32.80.2
32.832.7
Auto10.4
Teleop16.8
End5.7
red by 7.2
88
#8
25.60.5
24.124.5
Auto5.7
Teleop14.5
End5.5
Third
1721
#20
14.50.2
14.514.3
Auto2.1
Teleop8.9
End3.5
blue by 0.9
1786
#26
15.40.5
13.714.2
Auto5.7
Teleop8.5
End1.3