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Red51
454632.3
271327.3
81130.5
Blue56
31942.1
173531.6
128920.7
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9299501505156

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4546
Unranked
32.30.0
32.332.3
Auto9.0
Teleop18.6
End4.6
blue by 9.8
319
Unranked
42.10.0
42.142.1
Auto11.8
Teleop23.8
End6.6
Second
811
Unranked
30.50.0
30.530.5
Auto3.4
Teleop20.1
End7.0
blue by 1.1
1735
Unranked
31.60.0
31.631.6
Auto12.7
Teleop13.6
End5.3
Third
2713
Unranked
27.30.0
27.327.3
Auto9.5
Teleop15.1
End2.8
red by 6.6
1289
Unranked
20.70.0
20.720.7
Auto4.4
Teleop12.4
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
57%Breach odds93%Breach odds
Capture
11%Capture odds36%Capture odds