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Red117
50125.5
176846.2
81130.5
Blue57
13137.9
192222.5
454632.3
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions109925015020011757

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1768
Unranked
46.20.0
46.246.2
Auto12.6
Teleop21.5
End12.1
red by 8.4
131
Unranked
37.90.0
37.937.9
Auto10.9
Teleop19.7
End7.3
Second
811
Unranked
30.50.0
30.530.5
Auto3.4
Teleop20.1
End7.0
blue by 1.8
4546
Unranked
32.30.0
32.332.3
Auto9.0
Teleop18.6
End4.6
Third
501
Unranked
25.50.0
25.525.5
Auto10.4
Teleop10.7
End4.4
red by 3.0
1922
Unranked
22.50.0
22.522.5
Auto6.3
Teleop12.4
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
78%Breach odds83%Breach odds
Capture
14%Capture odds1%Capture odds