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Red120
176846.2
21324.1
271327.3
Blue76
596230.5
31942.1
490634.4
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions981125015012076

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1768
Unranked
46.20.0
46.246.2
Auto12.6
Teleop21.5
End12.1
red by 4.1
319
Unranked
42.10.0
42.142.1
Auto11.8
Teleop23.8
End6.6
Second
2713
Unranked
27.30.0
27.327.3
Auto9.5
Teleop15.1
End2.8
blue by 7.1
4906
Unranked
34.40.0
34.434.4
Auto6.2
Teleop24.6
End3.6
Third
213
Unranked
24.10.0
24.124.1
Auto7.6
Teleop14.0
End2.5
blue by 6.4
5962
Unranked
30.50.0
30.530.5
Auto10.7
Teleop15.8
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
86%Breach odds98%Breach odds
Capture
8%Capture odds31%Capture odds