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Red124
8828.6
88529.0
31940.9
Blue156
151951.9
107320.2
19030.8
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions130129100110120140150124156

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
319
#27
40.90.0
40.940.9
Auto9.5
Teleop25.1
End6.3
blue by 11.1
51.90.0
51.951.9
Auto16.9
Teleop29.2
End5.9
Second
885
#31
29.00.0
29.029.0
Auto9.9
Teleop13.3
End5.8
blue by 1.8
190
#19
30.80.0
30.830.8
Auto11.8
Teleop14.7
End4.2
Third
88
#2
28.60.0
28.628.6
Auto7.1
Teleop18.1
End3.4
red by 8.4
1073
#23
20.20.0
20.220.2
Auto5.7
Teleop11.1
End3.4