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Red118
2544.9
125736.8
55522.2
Blue164
562433.2
167632.3
22325.5
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14310850200250118164

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25
#2
44.90.3
45.545.2
Auto10.4
Teleop23.9
End10.6
red by 11.6
5624
#17
33.20.2
32.833.0
Auto9.6
Teleop19.5
End4.1
Second
36.80.3
37.437.1
Auto10.0
Teleop20.5
End6.3
red by 4.4
1676
#10
32.30.2
31.932.1
Auto10.5
Teleop17.7
End4.2
Third
555
#14
22.20.3
22.822.5
Auto5.3
Teleop12.8
End4.1
blue by 3.4
223
#22
25.50.2
25.125.3
Auto4.8
Teleop17.2
End3.5