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Red129
86939.6
83433.2
22426.4
Blue152
562433.2
167632.3
22325.5
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions124109406080100140160180200129152

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
869
#13
39.60.2
39.639.8
Auto7.5
Teleop22.6
End9.4
red by 6.3
5624
#17
33.20.4
32.232.6
Auto9.6
Teleop19.5
End4.1
Second
834
#3
33.20.2
33.233.4
Auto11.3
Teleop17.1
End4.9
red by 0.9
1676
#10
32.30.4
31.331.8
Auto10.5
Teleop17.7
End4.2
Third
224
#16
26.40.2
26.426.6
Auto9.3
Teleop16.3
End0.8
red by 0.8
223
#22
25.50.4
24.525.0
Auto4.8
Teleop17.2
End3.5