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Red111
140330.2
181133.1
601622.5
Blue109
7527.2
21930.5
29323.5
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1051068090100110120130111109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.10.1
33.233.3
Auto6.7
Teleop22.6
End3.8
red by 2.6
219
#7
30.50.1
31.331.5
Auto8.2
Teleop15.8
End6.5
Second
30.20.1
30.330.4
Auto7.8
Teleop16.2
End6.2
red by 3.0
75
#15
27.20.1
28.028.2
Auto9.0
Teleop14.7
End3.5
Third
6016
#35
22.50.1
22.622.7
Auto6.7
Teleop12.9
End2.9
blue by 1.0
293
#21
23.50.1
24.324.4
Auto4.9
Teleop17.0
End1.5