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Red84
55522.2
61321.9
86939.6
Blue79
601622.5
198932.5
599216.0
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions78690501001502008479

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
869
#13
39.60.6
36.336.9
Auto7.5
Teleop22.6
End9.4
red by 7.1
1989
#11
32.51.2
25.126.3
Auto9.9
Teleop19.4
End3.2
Second
555
#14
22.21.1
19.520.6
Auto5.3
Teleop12.8
End4.1
blue by 0.3
6016
#35
22.50.7
22.923.6
Auto6.7
Teleop12.9
End2.9
Third
613
#23
21.90.6
18.419.1
Auto3.6
Teleop15.1
End3.2
red by 5.9
5992
#30
16.01.2
20.321.5
Auto4.0
Teleop9.9
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
30%Breach oddsEarned64%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed