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Red80
22426.4
447513.4
19336.4
Blue74
351520.0
83433.2
403516.1
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions716501001502002503003508074

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
193
#5
36.40.8
35.035.8
Auto9.6
Teleop21.1
End5.7
red by 3.2
834
#3
33.20.7
30.731.4
Auto11.3
Teleop17.1
End4.9
Second
224
#16
26.40.8
22.823.7
Auto9.3
Teleop16.3
End0.8
red by 6.4
3515
#19
20.00.7
17.418.1
Auto6.0
Teleop12.3
End1.7
Third
4475
#28
13.40.8
9.910.7
Auto3.2
Teleop8.1
End2.2
blue by 2.6
4035
#25
16.10.7
15.616.3
Auto3.0
Teleop12.2
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
70%Breach oddsEarned78%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed