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Red102
314229.5
71417.7
125736.8
Blue115
29323.5
428120.8
589533.8
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7972050100150200250102115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.81.4
34.936.3
Auto10.0
Teleop20.5
End6.3
red by 2.9
33.83.2
29.232.4
Auto11.0
Teleop19.4
End3.4
Second
3142
#27
29.51.4
24.525.9
Auto6.4
Teleop20.4
End2.7
red by 6.1
293
#21
23.51.9
23.025.0
Auto4.9
Teleop17.0
End1.5
Third
714
#26
17.72.4
16.318.7
Auto1.8
Teleop14.3
End1.6
blue by 3.1
4281
#24
20.81.9
18.620.5
Auto6.6
Teleop11.5
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
77%Breach oddsEarned24%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed