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Red116
83433.2
181133.1
589533.8
Blue96
22426.4
86939.6
428120.8
76%Model gave it24%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions105805015020011696

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.82.0
32.434.4
Auto11.0
Teleop19.4
End3.4
blue by 5.8
869
#13
39.61.0
36.937.9
Auto7.5
Teleop22.6
End9.4
Second
834
#3
33.21.2
31.432.6
Auto11.3
Teleop17.1
End4.9
red by 6.9
224
#16
26.41.0
23.724.6
Auto9.3
Teleop16.3
End0.8
Third
33.11.2
34.635.7
Auto6.7
Teleop22.6
End3.8
red by 12.4
4281
#24
20.81.0
20.521.5
Auto6.6
Teleop11.5
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
92%Breach oddsEarned36%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
2%Capture oddsEarned1%Capture oddsMissed