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Red104
218017.4
162631.3
351520.0
Blue79
86939.6
21930.5
71417.7
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions639805015010479

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.32.5
28.931.4
Auto8.8
Teleop17.0
End5.5
blue by 8.3
869
#13
39.60.7
37.937.2
Auto7.5
Teleop22.6
End9.4
Second
3515
#19
20.02.5
18.621.2
Auto6.0
Teleop12.3
End1.7
blue by 10.5
219
#7
30.50.7
30.429.7
Auto8.2
Teleop15.8
End6.5
Third
2180
#37
17.42.5
18.521.0
Auto2.0
Teleop12.4
End3.0
blue by 0.3
714
#26
17.71.1
21.520.4
Auto1.8
Teleop14.3
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
40%Breach oddsEarned81%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed