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Red41
218017.4
403516.1
428120.8
Blue111
198932.5
7527.2
562433.2
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5694020408012014016041111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4281
#24
20.81.3
21.620.3
Auto6.6
Teleop11.5
End2.7
blue by 12.4
5624
#17
33.21.7
32.734.3
Auto9.6
Teleop19.5
End4.1
Second
2180
#37
17.41.3
21.219.9
Auto2.0
Teleop12.4
End3.0
blue by 15.1
1989
#11
32.52.4
26.528.9
Auto9.9
Teleop19.4
End3.2
Third
4035
#25
16.11.3
17.716.4
Auto3.0
Teleop12.2
End0.8
blue by 11.2
75
#15
27.21.7
26.928.5
Auto9.0
Teleop14.7
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
24%Breach oddsMissed72%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed2%Capture oddsEarned