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Red60
218017.4
331436.2
181133.1
Blue81
403516.1
29323.5
61321.9
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1025501506081

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3314
#12
36.22.1
36.734.5
Auto8.8
Teleop21.7
End5.7
red by 12.7
293
#21
23.51.0
23.724.8
Auto4.9
Teleop17.0
End1.5
Second
33.12.1
35.433.3
Auto6.7
Teleop22.6
End3.8
red by 11.2
613
#23
21.91.0
20.321.4
Auto3.6
Teleop15.1
End3.2
Third
2180
#37
17.42.1
19.917.7
Auto2.0
Teleop12.4
End3.0
red by 1.4
4035
#25
16.11.0
16.417.5
Auto3.0
Teleop12.2
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
70%Breach oddsMissed51%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed