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Red69
55522.2
447513.4
428518.5
Blue73
562433.2
127926.4
71417.7
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions448901001506973

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
555
#14
22.20.4
20.921.3
Auto5.3
Teleop12.8
End4.1
blue by 11.0
5624
#17
33.20.4
34.333.9
Auto9.6
Teleop19.5
End4.1
Second
4285
#29
18.50.3
17.217.5
Auto6.1
Teleop9.5
End2.8
blue by 7.9
1279
#20
26.40.4
25.425.0
Auto6.8
Teleop15.6
End4.0
Third
4475
#28
13.40.3
11.611.9
Auto3.2
Teleop8.1
End2.2
blue by 4.3
714
#26
17.70.6
19.819.2
Auto1.8
Teleop14.3
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
50%Breach oddsMissed78%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed2%Capture oddsMissed