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Red100
22325.5
601622.5
125736.8
Blue49
167632.3
573211.5
351520.0
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions916605010015010049

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.80.4
37.337.7
Auto10.0
Teleop20.5
End6.3
red by 4.4
1676
#10
32.31.6
33.331.8
Auto10.5
Teleop17.7
End4.2
Second
223
#22
25.50.4
23.123.5
Auto4.8
Teleop17.2
End3.5
red by 5.5
3515
#19
20.01.6
21.419.9
Auto6.0
Teleop12.3
End1.7
Third
6016
#35
22.50.4
24.024.3
Auto6.7
Teleop12.9
End2.9
red by 11.0
5732
#34
11.51.6
12.811.2
Auto2.8
Teleop6.4
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
95%Breach oddsEarned70%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
1%Capture oddsEarned1%Capture oddsMissed