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Red61
71417.7
601518.2
167632.3
Blue100
447513.4
86939.6
83433.2
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions728620406010012014016061100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1676
#10
32.30.7
31.831.0
Auto10.5
Teleop17.7
End4.2
blue by 7.2
869
#13
39.61.2
38.639.8
Auto7.5
Teleop22.6
End9.4
Second
6015
#31
18.20.7
20.920.2
Auto6.7
Teleop9.9
End1.7
blue by 15.0
834
#3
33.21.2
31.232.4
Auto11.3
Teleop17.1
End4.9
Third
714
#26
17.70.9
19.218.3
Auto1.8
Teleop14.3
End1.6
red by 4.3
4475
#28
13.41.2
11.913.1
Auto3.2
Teleop8.1
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
88%Breach oddsEarned67%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed3%Capture oddsEarned