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Red105
140330.2
314229.5
428518.5
Blue107
589533.8
86939.6
19336.4
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions65123050100150105107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.22.2
28.230.4
Auto7.8
Teleop16.2
End6.2
blue by 9.3
869
#13
39.60.2
39.839.6
Auto7.5
Teleop22.6
End9.4
Second
3142
#27
29.52.2
27.129.3
Auto6.4
Teleop20.4
End2.7
blue by 6.9
193
#5
36.40.2
35.635.4
Auto9.6
Teleop21.1
End5.7
Third
4285
#29
18.52.2
16.318.5
Auto6.1
Teleop9.5
End2.8
blue by 15.3
33.80.3
35.134.9
Auto11.0
Teleop19.4
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
43%Breach oddsEarned90%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
2%Capture oddsMissed5%Capture oddsMissed