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Red89
125736.8
198932.5
162631.3
Blue85
334019.5
167632.3
22426.4
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions775820401001208985

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.81.1
29.330.4
Auto10.0
Teleop20.5
End6.3
red by 4.4
1676
#10
32.31.1
27.528.6
Auto10.5
Teleop17.7
End4.2
Second
1989
#11
32.51.9
19.721.6
Auto9.9
Teleop19.4
End3.2
red by 6.1
224
#16
26.41.1
17.718.8
Auto9.3
Teleop16.3
End0.8
Third
31.31.1
22.924.0
Auto8.8
Teleop17.0
End5.5
red by 11.8
3340
#18
19.51.1
13.714.8
Auto4.8
Teleop12.3
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
68%Breach oddsEarned66%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed