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Red105
351520.0
531018.0
2544.9
Blue20
447513.4
573211.5
29323.5
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6736020608010012010520

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25
#2
44.91.6
39.140.7
Auto10.4
Teleop23.9
End10.6
red by 21.4
293
#21
23.51.7
20.919.2
Auto4.9
Teleop17.0
End1.5
Second
3515
#19
20.01.6
10.712.3
Auto6.0
Teleop12.3
End1.7
red by 6.6
4475
#28
13.41.7
7.96.2
Auto3.2
Teleop8.1
End2.2
Third
5310
#32
18.01.6
10.912.5
Auto1.4
Teleop12.1
End4.5
red by 6.5
5732
#34
11.51.7
11.39.6
Auto2.8
Teleop6.4
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
71%Breach oddsEarned20%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed