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Red34
531018.0
162632.4
171927.0
Blue131
121831.9
542021.5
36929.0
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions798605015020025030035034131

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1626
Unranked
32.40.0
32.432.4
Auto9.0
Teleop18.0
End5.4
red by 0.5
1218
Unranked
31.90.0
31.931.9
Auto8.8
Teleop18.2
End4.9
Second
1719
Unranked
27.00.0
27.027.0
Auto8.6
Teleop14.3
End4.1
blue by 2.0
369
Unranked
29.00.0
29.029.0
Auto7.7
Teleop17.1
End4.1
Third
5310
Unranked
18.00.0
18.018.0
Auto1.4
Teleop12.1
End4.5
blue by 3.5
5420
Unranked
21.50.0
21.521.5
Auto3.1
Teleop14.1
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
78%Breach odds94%Breach odds
Capture
3%Capture odds4%Capture odds