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Red81
32134.0
53322.8
43323.9
Blue95
457527.5
253927.9
495432.6
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions81920501502002503008195

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
321
Unranked
34.00.0
34.034.0
Auto10.4
Teleop18.1
End5.5
red by 1.3
4954
Unranked
32.60.0
32.632.6
Auto8.9
Teleop18.2
End5.5
Second
433
Unranked
23.90.0
23.923.9
Auto9.6
Teleop9.8
End4.4
blue by 4.0
2539
Unranked
27.90.0
27.927.9
Auto6.9
Teleop14.9
End6.1
Third
533
Unranked
22.80.0
22.822.8
Auto5.4
Teleop13.1
End4.3
blue by 4.8
4575
Unranked
27.50.0
27.527.5
Auto6.8
Teleop19.0
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
66%Breach odds90%Breach odds
Capture
5%Capture odds3%Capture odds