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Red80
121831.9
495432.6
111131.1
Blue82
622624.5
511332.2
450531.8
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions100900501502008082

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4954
Unranked
32.60.0
32.632.6
Auto8.9
Teleop18.2
End5.5
red by 0.4
5113
Unranked
32.20.0
32.232.2
Auto8.0
Teleop19.4
End4.9
Second
1218
Unranked
31.90.0
31.931.9
Auto8.8
Teleop18.2
End4.9
red by 0.1
4505
Unranked
31.80.0
31.831.8
Auto8.8
Teleop19.0
End4.1
Third
1111
Unranked
31.10.0
31.131.1
Auto7.2
Teleop19.1
End4.7
red by 6.7
6226
Unranked
24.50.0
24.524.5
Auto8.5
Teleop11.4
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
97%Breach odds86%Breach odds
Capture
11%Capture odds17%Capture odds