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Semifinal 1-22016 Duel on the Delaware
Red168
34149.4
164037.3
542021.5
Blue162
540138.0
22563.8
450531.8
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions157158130140150170180190168162

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
341
Unranked
49.40.0
49.4→49.4
Auto13.3
Teleop25.3
End10.8
blue by 14.4
225
Unranked
63.80.0
63.8→63.8
Auto16.7
Teleop36.9
End10.2
Second
1640
Unranked
37.30.0
37.3→37.3
Auto8.3
Teleop23.7
End5.3
blue by 0.8
5401
Unranked
38.00.0
38.0→38.0
Auto9.2
Teleop20.6
End8.3
Third
5420
Unranked
21.50.0
21.5→21.5
Auto3.1
Teleop14.1
End4.3
blue by 10.3
4505
Unranked
31.80.0
31.8→31.8
Auto8.8
Teleop19.0
End4.1