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Semifinal 2-12016 Duel on the Delaware
Red127
495432.6
108941.2
593823.8
Blue173
457527.5
30337.3
31622.0
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions123112050150200250300350127173

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1089
Unranked
41.20.0
41.2→41.2
Auto12.8
Teleop23.5
End4.9
red by 3.8
303
Unranked
37.30.0
37.3→37.3
Auto8.9
Teleop22.3
End6.1
Second
4954
Unranked
32.60.0
32.6→32.6
Auto8.9
Teleop18.2
End5.5
red by 5.1
4575
Unranked
27.50.0
27.5→27.5
Auto6.8
Teleop19.0
End1.8
Third
5938
Unranked
23.80.0
23.8→23.8
Auto6.1
Teleop13.2
End4.5
red by 1.8
316
Unranked
22.00.0
22.0→22.0
Auto7.5
Teleop11.7
End2.8