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Red51
181128.6
255421.9
436119.9
Blue147
4128.1
19327.9
457332.4
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions919940608012014016018051147

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1811
#14
28.60.5
29.328.8
Auto4.6
Teleop20.3
End3.7
blue by 3.7
4573
#22
32.40.4
30.831.2
Auto8.8
Teleop12.7
End10.8
Second
21.90.5
22.622.1
Auto7.7
Teleop11.7
End2.6
blue by 6.1
41
#17
28.10.4
26.526.9
Auto8.6
Teleop15.5
End3.9
Third
4361
#16
19.90.5
20.520.1
Auto6.1
Teleop11.7
End2.1
blue by 8.1
193
#7
27.90.4
26.326.7
Auto6.4
Teleop17.1
End4.4