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Red43
428513.1
21928.1
457332.4
Blue56
403512.0
5631.7
125729.3
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6667204060801004356

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4573
#22
32.42.9
20.117.2
Auto8.8
Teleop12.7
End10.8
red by 0.7
56
#1
31.71.6
28.026.4
Auto7.5
Teleop19.8
End4.3
Second
219
#5
28.12.9
22.119.2
Auto10.4
Teleop13.1
End4.6
blue by 1.2
1257
#10
29.31.6
20.819.3
Auto6.3
Teleop18.5
End4.4
Third
4285
#37
13.12.9
22.119.2
Auto3.4
Teleop7.0
End2.8
red by 1.1
4035
#31
12.01.6
16.414.9
Auto1.7
Teleop7.0
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
47%Breach oddsMissed48%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed