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Red89
192328.6
181128.6
562428.4
Blue44
334015.4
75212.9
125729.3
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions664802040801001201401608944

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1811
#14
28.62.5
19.622.1
Auto4.6
Teleop20.3
End3.7
blue by 0.6
1257
#10
29.30.6
19.318.6
Auto6.3
Teleop18.5
End4.4
Second
28.62.5
21.924.4
Auto10.2
Teleop13.8
End4.6
red by 13.2
3340
#21
15.40.6
16.415.8
Auto0.6
Teleop12.1
End2.7
Third
5624
#12
28.42.5
20.022.5
Auto9.2
Teleop15.8
End3.5
red by 15.5
752
#39
12.90.6
13.913.2
Auto3.4
Teleop9.6
End-0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
44%Breach oddsEarned38%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsEarned0%Capture oddsMissed