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Red79
19327.9
192328.6
207014.7
Blue71
531012.0
140323.3
457332.4
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions695302040801001201407971

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.62.3
24.422.1
Auto10.2
Teleop13.8
End4.6
blue by 3.8
4573
#22
32.41.3
19.320.6
Auto8.8
Teleop12.7
End10.8
Second
193
#7
27.92.3
25.423.1
Auto6.4
Teleop17.1
End4.4
red by 4.6
1403
#24
23.31.3
22.423.7
Auto5.2
Teleop12.7
End5.4
Third
2070
#30
14.72.3
15.212.8
Auto2.5
Teleop10.1
End2.2
red by 2.6
5310
#36
12.01.3
12.613.9
Auto0.6
Teleop9.1
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
60%Breach oddsMissed39%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed