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Red64
531012.0
428513.1
1134.8
Blue78
562428.4
457332.4
601621.1
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions546202040801006478

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
11
#4
34.81.1
30.831.9
Auto9.0
Teleop21.7
End4.0
red by 2.4
4573
#22
32.41.0
20.621.5
Auto8.8
Teleop12.7
End10.8
Second
4285
#37
13.11.1
9.410.5
Auto3.4
Teleop7.0
End2.8
blue by 15.3
5624
#12
28.41.0
23.324.3
Auto9.2
Teleop15.8
End3.5
Third
5310
#36
12.01.1
13.915.0
Auto0.6
Teleop9.1
End2.4
blue by 9.0
6016
#15
21.11.0
15.516.5
Auto2.9
Teleop13.5
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
35%Breach oddsEarned35%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed