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Red36
314218.0
457332.4
257714.4
Blue67
255421.9
167625.3
601517.3
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions534202060801001203667

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4573
#22
32.41.6
21.520.0
Auto8.8
Teleop12.7
End10.8
red by 7.1
1676
#13
25.32.2
15.317.4
Auto8.0
Teleop13.2
End4.1
Second
3142
#33
18.01.6
15.914.3
Auto2.9
Teleop12.1
End3.0
blue by 3.9
21.92.2
17.920.1
Auto7.7
Teleop11.7
End2.6
Third
2577
#35
14.41.6
12.511.0
Auto2.6
Teleop10.1
End1.7
blue by 2.9
6015
#26
17.32.2
9.311.5
Auto3.9
Teleop9.7
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
27%Breach oddsMissed35%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed