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Red70
436119.9
192328.6
255421.9
Blue10
314218.0
44759.6
122813.9
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6537020801001207010

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.60.7
23.824.5
Auto10.2
Teleop13.8
End4.6
red by 10.6
3142
#33
18.03.3
14.311.0
Auto2.9
Teleop12.1
End3.0
Second
21.90.7
20.120.7
Auto7.7
Teleop11.7
End2.6
red by 8.0
1228
#34
13.93.3
11.17.7
Auto1.8
Teleop9.3
End2.9
Third
4361
#16
19.90.7
15.015.7
Auto6.1
Teleop11.7
End2.1
red by 10.3
4475
#38
9.63.3
14.711.4
Auto2.0
Teleop6.9
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
61%Breach oddsEarned25%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed