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Red100
562428.4
22235.3
255421.9
Blue79
1134.8
601517.3
257714.4
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8249020406010012014010079

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
222
#8
35.31.7
27.529.2
Auto9.6
Teleop20.0
End5.8
red by 0.6
11
#4
34.81.8
30.432.2
Auto9.0
Teleop21.7
End4.0
Second
5624
#12
28.41.7
26.728.3
Auto9.2
Teleop15.8
End3.5
red by 11.1
6015
#26
17.31.8
11.513.3
Auto3.9
Teleop9.7
End3.8
Third
21.91.7
20.722.4
Auto7.7
Teleop11.7
End2.6
red by 7.5
2577
#35
14.41.8
11.012.8
Auto2.6
Teleop10.1
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
76%Breach oddsEarned45%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed